FOMC and Mt. Gox Fail to Stir Volatility

• Bitcoin stays steady at around $26,703 despite the Federal Reserve’s rate news and Mt. Gox payout delay.
• Traders have mixed opinions, some holding a bullish long-term view while others remain cautious about Bitcoin’s future.

In recent days, Bitcoin, the foremost cryptocurrency, has demonstrated impressive resilience in the face of significant economic events. The latest data indicates that Bitcoin is trading at $26,703, marking a slight decrease from its value of $27,000 on September 21. This minor 1.5% dip comes as the cryptocurrency market reacts to recent developments in the United States macroeconomic landscape.

Despite the announcement of an interest rate pause by the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin’s price remained largely calm. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech and the subsequent press conference did not substantially change the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin had already factored in the implications of the rate pause, resulting in a composed reaction.

Another noteworthy development that appears to have slipped under the radar is the postponement of payouts to creditors of the now-defunct cryptocurrency exchange, Mt. Gox. This extension of the timeline for another year did not elicit a discernible reaction from Bitcoin’s price.

Insights from Experienced Traders

Veteran traders offer a range of perspectives on the current state of Bitcoin. A widely followed trader known as Jelle expressed that the Federal Reserve’s announcement hardly surprised anyone in the market. While Bitcoin maintains its position within a familiar price range, the absence of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as an immediate concern is viewed positively. Jelle maintains an optimistic long-term outlook, hinting at the possibility of an upward breakout from the current price structure.

The Fed’s announcement of a rate pause caught exactly no-one by surprise.

Price is still in the same spot, but at least now we don’t have FOMC hanging over our heads.

Rangebound until proven otherwise. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/SNIQLI0lOw

— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) September 21, 2023

One trader, Crypto Tony, underscores the importance of Bitcoin maintaining a price above $26,800 until the week concludes. His trading strategy revolves around maintaining a long position while this crucial support level remains intact. The onus is now on the bullish segment of the market to secure a favorable conclusion to the week.

A deeper analysis of longer timeframes by trader Crypto Ed introduces an element of caution. He suggests that Bitcoin’s previous interaction with month-to-date highs may warrant closer scrutiny. His conservative analysis hints at the potential for a Bitcoin price decline. Notably, Crypto Ed observes that on the monthly chart, the support level at $27,150 has transformed into a formidable resistance level, presenting a notable technical challenge.

#BTC
In my recent updates, I shared my feeling that “something” was off with that recent rise to $27,5k

Spot (white) offloading here is maybe a warning…….. 🤔 pic.twitter.com/oabzVKuOvx

— Ed_NL (@Crypto_Ed_NL) September 21, 2023

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Focus on Bitcoin’s Monthly Close

To better understand the reasons behind the post-Federal Reserve decline, Crypto analyst Rekt Capital proposes that Bitcoin’s interaction with month-to-date highs might have introduced an element of uncertainty among traders. He maintains his cautious stance regarding the potential downside for Bitcoin’s price in the near term.

#BTC

The Bearish Bitcoin Fractal assumes price could still rally to even as high as ~$29,000 before additional downside

Key Technical Events

• Overextension beyond Bull Market Support Band (yellow circle) possible but a failed retest of the Band as support post-breakout and… pic.twitter.com/dFgV1G5DAh

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) September 18, 2023

On the monthly chart, he highlights that the support at $27,150, lost last month, has now transitioned into a challenging resistance level. Despite the recent market fluctuations and external factors, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable stability.

Additionally, the analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s price could experience an overextension beyond what is termed the “Bull Market Support Band.”A yellow circle on the chart indicates this. However, for the bearish fractal scenario to remain intact, there should be a failed retest of this Band as support post-breakout.

If the Bull Market Support Band successfully functions as a support level, it could signal a potential shift in the prevailing bearish sentiment. This would be a development worth monitoring closely for Bitcoin traders.

The cryptocurrency market remains poised for potential developments, with traders vigilantly monitoring key support, resistance levels, and macroeconomic events that could influence prices.

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