A crypto analyst has suggested that Bitcoin (BTC) is still in a bear market despite its recent price rally, warning that the cryptocurrency could be headed for a deeper correction below $60,000. The call comes amid repeated failed breakouts and weakening momentum, raising doubts about any near-term recovery. According to the analyst, the current price structure suggests bears remain firmly in control, with downside risks continuing to build.
Why Bitcoin Is Still Bearish Despite Recent Rebounds
A technical analyst known as JDK Analysis on X has shared fresh insights into Bitcoin’s current price action and potential next moves. In his post, he stated that Bitcoin’s recent price rally above $75,000 marked its fourth fakeout. He argued that, rather than a sustained price recovery, the latest upward moves may signal weakness, reinforcing his base case that BTC is currently in a short-term reaccumulation phase within a broader bear market.
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JDK Analysis noted that the current re-accumulation phase lacked the key signals typically seen at true market bottoms, which often precede a sustained price reversal. As a result, he suggests that any near-term upside will likely be limited until a final price floor is reached.
The analyst explained that strong market bottoms do not emerge suddenly. Instead, they form after an extended downtrend with multiple processes involved. He stated that large-scale investors cannot simply “buy the bottom” like most retail traders because their investments are substantial enough to move the market and influence prices.
He added that buying only occurs when enough traders are willing to sell coins, making it even harder for big players to enter positions. If they decide to place large buy orders even when there are not enough sellers available, they could end up pushing prices higher and buying at even worse levels.
To address this, JDK Analysis noted that most large players typically seek out liquidity by targeting areas with clustered orders. He said that it also helps when many traders are caught on the wrong side of the market, as their positions provide easy exit liquidity for whales. He called this process liquidity engineering, noting that it explains why Bitcoin’s price often moves up and down within a range, appearing as though it is recovering.
The analyst added that the same process also applies when Bitcoin experiences sudden drops. During sharp moves, traders often panic and sell, leading to downside fakeouts in which prices briefly fall before reversing or stabilizing. Overall, JDK Analysis remains firm in his view that the market is not in a recovery stage. Instead, he argues that bears are still largely in control, with no confirmed bottom in place and the possibility of another major price crash still ahead.
BTC Faces Possible Crash Below $60,000
While he maintains that the market is still bearish, JDK Analysis has explained what a true bottom should look like. He stated that a real bottom forms after several failed attempts to push prices lower. He emphasized that during repeated downside moves, trading volume typically declines, signaling that selling pressure is fading as sellers become exhausted. Once this happens, the market begins to shift before a fresh bullish trend begins.
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However, the analyst argues that current market conditions are showing opposite behavior. Instead of exhaustion, prices continue to test the upper range before getting rejected. He also noted that BTC’s overall supply appears to be dominating demand, with each upward push accompanied by declining trading volume. The analyst views this as a major bearish signal.
His chart shows that once Bitcoin breaks further below $75,000, the cryptocurrency could be heading toward its next crash level around $59,000. If this support fails, the analyst predicts an even deeper correction below $56,000, possibly marking its final bottom.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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