The Bitcoin and crypto market may have received yet another bullish narrative from China. As reported by Bloomberg, the country is mulling a major stimulus package to kick-start an economic recovery following the rebooting of the economy after the restrictive Corona measures.
In light of Hong Kong’s recent opening to cryptocurrency trading by retail investors, a new bullish narrative is therefore emerging, as renowned expert Lex Moskovski explained via Twitter. According to him, the Chinese stimmies could go directly into “unregistered securities” (allusion to the classification of altcoins by SEC chairman Gary Gensler).
Chinese stimmies going into your unregistered securities.
Here’s your bullish narrative. https://t.co/HjaB3fliC3
— Lex Moskovski (@mskvsk) June 13, 2023
China Mulls Stimulus Package
According to the report, China is considering a comprehensive package of stimulus measures as pressure mounts on Xi Jinping’s government to revive the second-largest economy. Anonymous sources claim the proposals include at least a dozen measures to support areas such as real estate and domestic demand.
A particular focus is reportedly on China’s beleaguered real estate market, which is to be a key part of the package. Chinese regulators reportedly want to lower the cost of outstanding residential mortgages and boost lending by the country’s policy banks to ensure that homes are delivered.
In addition, interest rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) are also said to be under consideration. Speculation on this already arose recently after the central bank unexpectedly cut its seven-day reverse repo rate.
However, it is important to stress that the stimulus plan has yet to be finalized and could therefore be subject to change. Nevertheless, China’s State Council could discuss the measures as early as this Friday. Still, it is unclear when they will be announced or implemented, the report states.
What Impact Could The Package Have On Bitcoin And Crypto?
While investors in the broader financial market are likely to welcome the Chinese authorities’ plans, much will depend on the final scope and composition of the stimulus measures to assess the extent to which Bitcoin and crypto may also benefit from the stimulus package.
Nevertheless, the package and Hong Kong’s recent opening on June 1st are an interesting development with regard to cryptocurrencies. The liberal Hong Kong is considered a gateway for wealthy Chinese to invest in foreign assets.
Meanwhile, the hoped-for “China effect” on the Bitcoin and crypto market has not yet materialized, in part because the registration of exchanges is rather slow. For example, Coinbase only received an invitation from Hong Kong lawmakers to apply in the region yesterday, as Bitcoinist reported.
In the US, the $1,200 stimulus checks had a measurable impact on Bitcoin. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, there was a “significant increase” in Bitcoin purchases of $1,200 in April 2020. Furthermore, the central bank noted that overall Bitcoin trading volumes increased by about 3.8% in response to the distribution of the first stimulus checks.
While the environment in China is not comparable to that in the US, a similar effect could still be possible. As NewsBTC Chief Analyst Tony “The Bull” recently discussed, Bitcoin’s best rises have always occurred before large monetary stimulus.
All of Bitcoin’s best rallies were before major monetary stimulus
Zoom out pic.twitter.com/uR2r1zkyrG
— Tony “The Bull” (@tonythebullBTC) June 4, 2023
This time, the stimulus may not come from the US, but from China. At press time, the Bitcoin price stood at $26.226 ahead of today’s crucial CPI release in the US.
Featured image from Financial Times, chart from TradingView.com
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